“Beat The Spread,” Week 3: Trying harder this timeWritten by Matt Sussman | | firstname.lastname@example.org
It’s time again to play “Beat the Spread” with UT and BG football. For a refresher on the rules, consult the introductory article.
I don’t even want to ask how we did last week. But sadly, that’s how this thing is played.
Toledo 54, Colorado 38
Actual margin of victory: UT by 16
Sportsbook’s prediction: Colorado by 4 (off by 20 points)
Sussman’s prediction: Colorady by 13 (off by 29 points)
Missouri 27, Bowling Green 20
Actual margin of victory: Missouri by 7
Sportsbook’s prediction: Missouri by 20 (13 points)
Sussman’s prediction: Missouri by 16 (9 points)
This is why I would make a great weatherman. I was off by a total of 38 points, compared to the sportsbook’s 33. With the lowest score winning, the bookies are ahead 58-53½ for the season. It’s still anyone’s game, but this is shaping up to be, instead of a battle of wits, a war of who’s the least stupid.
Ohio State vs. Toledo at Cleveland Browns Stadium, noon Saturday
The anticipation of this game has been simmering on the cauldron for over three years, ever since these two teams agreed to a home-and-sorta-home in 2009 and 2011. It’s almost impossible to gauge where college football teams will be in three years, but back in 2006, I think we could have expected both of these teams to be exactly where they are. Toledo has a lot of respect, having scored 85 points in two weeks against BCS teams.
Ohio State, meanwhile, is still the class of the Big Ten and is being laughed at by the rest of the world. After the Navy and USC games, Jim Tressel’s under a lot of pressure (if you believe this very well-crafted post by Chris Brown). They’re going to have to blow UT out of the water if they want any respect back. A 20-point margin of victory is probably a good line the Buckeyes will have to surpass if they want to redeem enough respect, but the catch-22 is that it probably will be closer than that.
But if the Rockets win this game, the “Pardon The Interruption” Twitter may be right in that aspiring band members could have a new dream.
The Sportsbook Spread: OSU by 20½
My Spread: OSU by 13
Bowling Green at Marshall, 7 p.m. Saturday
Hey, Remember Marshall? They were that team that swooped into the MAC back in ’97 and immediately won a conference title. They went onto win five conference titles in six years, and ever since they joined the “better” Conference USA, they’ve always sustained a losing record. This is Marshall’s first game against MAC team in five years, so it’ll be just like old times. The best case scenario is if those old times are from 2004, when BG beat the Thundering Herd 56-35.
As for the Falcons, they’ve proved quite convincingly they can play an incredible half of football, but then forget how to move the ball forward in the other half. They had a 13-6 halftime lead over the 25th ranked Missouri Tigers last week, and even went up 20-6, but the final 21 points were scored by the Fighting Pinkels. There’s a big loss in the Falcons secondary without P.J. Mahone, who was suspended for the ever-mysterious “violation of team rules.” Hopefully the offense can account for the loss in defense, or however that saying goes.
The oddsmakers are giving the slight edge to the home team. I fervently disagree with those scoundrels and question their body odor.
The Sportsbook Spread: Marshall by 3
My Spread: Bowling Green by 7
If you have better, sassier predictions, I’m all eyes.